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Opened Jun 16, 2025 by Connor Giroux@connorgiroux63
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By not Stopping the Boats, pM is Signing his Political Death Warrant


Let's assume Sir Keir Starmer wants to win the next election. Let's also presume he has no desire to be changed as Prime Minister in the next year or two by Wes Streeting or Angela Rayner or anyone else.

He's a political leader, after all, and politicians relish power - Starmer more than the majority of, I would think. I also suggest that he's at least averagely intelligent, and need to have the ability to weigh up the opportunities of any policy succeeding.
firstnational.co.nz
After the battles, compromises and humiliations included in attaining high workplace, Starmer has no objective of throwing it all away. Why, then, does he show every sign of doing so?

On the single problem that might matter most to a bulk of citizens, he is hurtling towards particular catastrophe, while denying himself any possibility of an escape route. I suggest the boats coming throughout the Channel.

Numbers of migrants doing the 21-mile journey are up by 42 percent on the same duration in 2015. An analysis by The Times, using similar modelling as Border Force, anticipates that 50,000 people will cross the Channel in little boats in 2025. That would be a yearly record - and a stonking debacle for Sir Keir.

Peering into his mind, I reckon there are two primary possible descriptions for his behaviour. One is that he is deluding himself. He actually believes numbers will boil down as soon as the steps he has taken start to work.

If Starmer still thinks that his policies - throwing numerous millions at the French authorities, improving intelligence and using improved police powers - will lower the numbers, that truly is the triumph of hope over experience. The other possibility is that he is already starting poorly to understand that his stratagems will not bear much, if any, fruit. So he and the Government have chosen to pull the wool over our eyes. A deadly approach.

There have been 2 such examples in current days. Having stated in an online post on Monday that he felt 'upset' about the numbers crossing the (how does he believe the rest of us feel !?) the PM made a slippery claim.

Sir Keir Starmer now has absolutely nothing formidable in his locker, Stephen Glover composes

Only 2,240 small-boat migrants were sent out home in the 12 months to March, 3 percent less than in the previous year

He boasted that 'almost 30,000 individuals' had actually been removed from the UK by this Government. Sounds good. But in truth this figure refers to all kinds of migrants who have no right to be in our nation. Only 2,240 small-boat migrants were sent out home in the 12 months to March, 3 percent less than in the previous year.

A lie? Good God no! We should not implicate Labour prime ministers, far less Sir Keir Starmer KCB, PC, KC, MP, of informing deliberate fibs. Shall we go for an analytical deception?

The other instance of the Government not being totally straight was the Home Office's claim earlier this week that there have been more migrants this year because of pleasant weather condition. These are called 'red days', when the sea is calm.

But an analysis by my colleague David Barrett in yesterday's Mail reveals that in temperate May last year there were 21 'red days' but just 2,765 arrivals, about 1,000 fewer than last month. In gentle June 2024 there were 20 'red days', though just 3,007 migrants were taped crossing the Channel.

The most possible description is that last May and June the Government's plan to send out illegal migrants to Rwanda had lastly cleared persistent judicial blockage. Some, at least, were discouraged from crossing the Channel for fear of being packed off to the main African country.

The Rwanda scheme was far from ideal - it was costly, and accountable to legal challenge due to the fact that the nation has an authoritarian federal government - but a minimum of it had some prospect of hindering migrants. The incoming Labour Government got rid of its only plausible methods of suppressing the boats.

Good for Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, who in a speech tomorrow will carry out to reanimate a strategy noticeably similar to the Rwandan one.

Starmer now has nothing formidable in his locker. Literally nothing. He can offer further millions to the French federal government however it will not make much, if any, distinction. French cops will still loll around on beaches, thinking of the sand castles they made as kids, as they see migrant boats setting off for Dover.

The fact is that the French will never strain themselves due to the fact that every migrant who leaves their coasts is one less migrant for them to fret about. It is naive to picture that they are ever going to be zealous on our behalf.

STEPHEN GLOVER: Keir Starmer is a soft man who can not comprehend the real wicked Britain is facing

Nor will Sir Keir's concept of improving intelligence and police be decisive. When it comes to Labour's reported objective to play with Article 8 of the Human Rights Act so as to preclude phony asylum claims, that is welcome, however even if it ends up being law it is unlikely to have much effect on general numbers.

Are the PM and Home Secretary Yvette Cooper beginning to stress as they realise they do not have a single policy likely to satisfy their guarantee of 'smashing the gangs'? If they aren't desperate, they jolly well must be.

Three weeks earlier, Sir Keir was humiliated after he had actually applauded talks over Rwanda-style 'return centers' only minutes before his Albanian equivalent, standing a couple of feet away, ruled out any cooperation.

Maybe the Government will persuade the Kosovans or the North Macedonians to set up some sort of scheme. But if it does, it will take months, if not years, and people will question why Sir Keir cancelled an arrangement that he is at least partly attempting to revive.

I've no particular desire to toss Starmer a lifeline but, as I have actually suggested before, there's one possible course out of the hole he has actually dug for himself - though it would take huge decision and courage for him to take it.

There are many unoccupied British islands off our coast and additional afield. Pick one of them. Create a camp similar to those on the Isle of Man that housed alien internees during the War. Build hundreds of huts - instead of setting up less sturdy tents, as ex-Reform MP Rupert Lowe has actually proposed.

Recruit doctors and officials to assess claims quicker than happens at present - and then return most migrants to where they originated from. The expense of establishing such a camp would be a portion of the ₤ 4.3 billion invested in 2015 on housing migrants and asylum seekers.

Can anybody inform me why not? Few migrants would elegant kicking their heels for months in a camp, however gentle, so it would be a wonderful deterrent. Cross the Channel, and you will be our guest - on a possibly windy island rather than in a four-star hotel.

Granted, in order to fend off vexatious legal obstacles we 'd probably have to derogate from the European Court of Human Rights, which would be a step too far for our cautious Prime Minister.

But he doesn't have a much better concept. In reality, he hasn't got any concepts at all that are liable to stem the growing varieties of people streaming across the English Channel.
google.com
Things can just get even worse - and as they do Labour will sink ever lower in public esteem. Does Sir Keir Starmer actually wish to be the signatory of his own political death warrant?

RwandaAngela RaynerLabourWes Streeting

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Reference: connorgiroux63/mcsold#2